Kamis, 10 Februari 2011

AIG to Take $4.1 Billion Q4 Charge for Reserves

Bailed-out insurer American International Group Inc. said it would take a $4.1 billion charge at its Chartis unit after a review showed higher-than-expected claims on older policies for asbestos exposure and workers’ compensation.

In a further bid to bolster capital at the unit, the U.S. government will allow AIG to retain $2 billion from recent sales.

Under Chief Executive Robert Benmosche, AIG had been selling businesses such as its AIG Star Life Insurance Co. and AIG Edison Life Insurance Co. to refocus on core units including global property insurer Chartis and U.S. life insurer SunAmerica.

But an annual loss-reserve review of Chartis showed it needed to put more money aside for accidents, mostly from 2005 and earlier, AIG said in a statement Wednesday.

To boost capital at Chartis after the fourth-quarter charge, the U.S. government agreed to let AIG keep half of its $4 billion in proceeds from the Star Life and Edison Life sales.

“As a result, AIG expects that the Chartis insurance companies’ statutory surplus will remain largely unaffected,” the company said.

The government will still be repaid in full for its investment in AIG despite the change in the distribution of asset sale proceeds, a source familiar with the matter said on Wednesday.

“At the end of the day, the whole point is strengthening (AIG’s) balance sheet,” said the source, who was not authorized to discuss the matter publicly.

AIG shares fell 2.5 percent to $41.30 in morning trading.

The reserve strengthening — a total of $4.6 billion, excluding $446 million in discount and premium adjustments — is mostly in response to asbestos, excess casualty, excess workers’ compensation and primary workers’ compensation claims, the insurer said.

Changes to expectations of asbestos-related claims made up most of the charge. AIG said it had changed some of its loss-reserve-related assumptions, “taking into consideration recent, higher industrywide trends regarding expanding coverage theories for liability.”

The changes in loss estimates for excess and primary workers’ compensation resulted from continuing medical inflation, additional treatment specialties and longer claim periods, the company said. Losses from primary workers’ compensation were “further compounded by reduced return to work opportunities in today’s high unemployment environment.”

AIG will report its fourth-quarter results after the market closes on Feb. 24. Through Tuesday, analysts on average had expected the company to report a profit of 61 cents a share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

The company and the U.S. Treasury plan to sell at least $15 billion in stock in May.

(Additional reporting by Ben Berkowitz; Editing by Lisa Von Ahn and Gerald E. McCormick)

Allstate to Exit Banking Business February 9, 2011

The Allstate Corp., the nation’s largest publicly held personal lines insurer, is getting out of the banking business.

Discover Bank, a division of Discover Financial Services, is purchasing the $1.1 billion deposits of Allstate Bank and the two have entered into to a multi-year distribution and marketing agreement.

Discover Bank will assume the Allstate Bank deposit accounts and provide banking products and services to Allstate customers, including loans to Allstate’s agents. Allstate Financial does not intend to originate banking products or services after the transaction closes.

Allstate said the financial terms of the transaction are not considered material and it expects the transaction to close by mid-year, subject to regulatory approval.

The insurer said the move lets it focus on its core products in a time of regulatory change.

“Allstate Financial has refocused on insurance, retirement and investment products. That, combined with the changing regulatory environment, led us to the determination that operating Allstate Bank is no longer core to our long-term strategy,” said Matthew Winter, president and chief executive officer, Allstate Financial.

He said Allstate’s banking customers will have uninterrupted access to their FDIC-insured deposits and services through Discover.

As part of the distribution and marketing agreement, Allstate affiliates and agents will be able to offer personal savings and money market accounts, CDs and individual retirement account CDs to their customers through Discover.

Allstate said the transfer of deposits will not affect insurance policies and other non-banking products that customers have with Allstate. Discover will continue to offer Allstate customers many of the same banking services that are available through Allstate Bank today.

Allstate Financial will continue to offer and administer business loans to Allstate agencies through Allstate Finance Co.

Allstate Bank received its thrift charter in 1998 and began offering retail banking products in 2001. The bank currently offers FDIC-insured certificates of deposit, money market accounts, savings accounts, checking accounts, ATM/debit cards and home mortgages.

Discover Financial Services operates the Discover card, personal and student loans, online savings accounts, certificates of deposit and money market accounts through its Discover Bank subsidiary.

Facebook Firing Suit Settled

A settlement has been reached in the case of a Connecticut worker who was fired for criticizing her boss on Facebook, according to the The National Labor Relations Board (NLRB).

The case centered on a complaint issued last year by the NLRB against American Medical Response of Connecticut Inc. alleging that the ambulance firm broke federal labor laws when it fired an employee posting and responding to comments about her boss on the social networking site.

The National Labor Relations Act permits employees to talk about the terms and conditions of their employment with co-workers and others.

The NLRB also said the company maintained overly broad rules in its employee handbook regarding blogging, Internet posting and communications between employees. The labor board also said American Medical Response illegally denied union representation to the employee during an investigatory interview shortly before the employee posted the negative comments on her Facebook page.

American Medical Response has agreed to relax its rules about employees discussing their wages hours and working conditions and said they would not discipline or discharge employees for engaging in such discussions.

The company also promised that employee requests for union representation will not be denied in the future and that employees will not be threatened with discipline for requesting union representation.

Verizon May Sell 2 Million IPhones as It Battles AT&T


Verizon Wireless, the wireless carrier whose stores begin offering the iPhone today, may sell 2 million or more of the devices this quarter and draw subscribers from AT&T Inc., analysts said.

Verizon, which is ending Dallas-based AT&T’s monopoly on the Apple Inc. phone in the U.S., will start sales at 7 a.m. New York time. Initial online sales to existing Verizon users Feb. 3 ended within hours after the company exhausted its stock.

The carrier gaining the iPhone will intensify competition in the U.S. smartphone market and curb customer growth at AT&T, said Craig Moffett, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. The threat of losing users may encourage AT&T to increase subsidies on its devices, which would force other carriers to match the lower prices, benefiting consumers, he said.

“It’s unrealistic to think that AT&T is simply going to watch as their subscriber growth falls off the table,” said New York-based Moffett, who rates Verizon “underperform.” “They will obviously try to present a more compelling lineup of Android phones and Windows 7 phones of their own, but the main event will be what they do with pricing.”

Verizon may sell 2 million iPhones this quarter, according to Rick Franklin, an analyst at Edward Jones & Co., Jennifer Fritzsche at Wells Fargo Securities LLC and Ashok Kumar at Rodman & Renshaw LLC. Sales in the first week may top 1 million units, said Mike Abramsky of RBC Capital Markets LLC. The device went on sale online on Feb. 9.

Preorders Exhausted

Verizon will sell 9 million iPhones or more this year, Abramsky predicts. Verizon said last month 2011 sales and profit may jump as much as 8 percent if it sells 11 million iPhones. AT&T, which had exclusive rights for the device since its 2007 release, activated more than 15 million iPhones last year.

Verizon sold more than 500,000 iPhones through preorders, estimates Philip Cusick, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase & Co. On Feb. 3, the carrier said it sold more iPhone 4s in two hours than any other Verizon product had sold in its first day. Verizon stopped accepting orders because of the demand.

A 16-gigabyte iPhone 4 costs $199.99 at Verizon and a 32- gigabyte version $299.99, matching the prices at AT&T.

Verizon Communications Inc., the New York-based company that co-owns Verizon Wireless with Vodafone Group Plc, added 34 cents to $36.68 on the New York Stock Exchange yesterday. AT&T gained 6 cents to $27.97. Apple, based in Cupertino, California, rose $2.96 to $358.16 in Nasdaq Stock Market trading.

‘New Front’

The iPhone 4 is the fourth generation of the device. The iPhone is Apple’s top-selling product, accounting for 39 percent of its revenue in the first quarter, more than Macintosh computers and iPads combined.

Adding Verizon allows Apple to roughly double the number of customers it can reach in the U.S. Apple is facing increased competition from Samsung Electronics Co., HTC Corp. and Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc., whose smartphones run Google Inc.’s Android operating system.

Android phones accounted for 28.7 percent of U.S. smartphones in the U.S. in the quarter ended in December, compared with 25 percent for Apple, according to ComScore Inc.

“They are opening up a new front in the cellular phone wars,” said Michael Yoshikami, chief investment strategist at YCMNet Advisors in Walnut Creek, California, which owns Apple shares.

The new iPhone, based on CDMA technology, may let Apple expand in international markets where that standard is used, said Brian Marshall, an analyst at Gleacher & Co. in San Francisco. CDMA carriers include Japan’s KDDI Corp. and Beijing- based China Telecom Corp., he said.

The Verizon iPhone is different than the original iPhone 4 released in July, according to an analysis of its components by IFixit. One change is to the antenna design, according to IFixit. The design of the antenna was criticized last year because calls were dropped if the phone was held a certain way.

“Apple is really focused on being a wireless mobile company more than a computer company,” Yoshikami said. “The Verizon iPhone is just one step towards that.”

NYSE Death as Top Exchange Presaged Deutsche Boerse Deal


The New York Stock Exchange, the symbol of American capitalism for more than a century, may merge with a German rival after losing ground to smaller competitors.

NYSE Euronext, the owner of the NYSE, is negotiating to be acquired by Deutsche Boerse AG with equity valued at $10 billion after its market share dwindled to 23 percent from 80 percent in the past six years. The new company will be the biggest exchange owner, handling equities worth $15 trillion and 40 percent of the U.S. options market.

The 219-year-old exchange led by Chief Executive Officer Duncan Niederauer, home to General Electric Co. and Ford Motor Co., was diminished as regulators opened U.S. markets to more competition after investors demanded lower trading costs. The sale to 18-year-old Deutsche Boerse in Frankfurt shows the increasing importance of machines over humans in trading stocks and the rising influence of derivatives, where profit margins are as high as 55 percent.

“Sadly, the NYSE became a victim of its own success -- too large and dominant to move quickly to adapt,” said Peter Kenny, a managing director in institutional sales at Knight Equity Markets LP in Jersey City, New Jersey, who became a member in 1987. “It is not all bad, but it is very sad to an old timer like myself.”

Deutsche Boerse and NYSE Euronext announced merger talks on the same day that London Stock Exchange Group Plc agreed to purchase Toronto-based TMX Group Inc. for about $3.1 billion.

Exchange Mergers

The biggest day ever for exchange mergers triggered rallies in shares of operators from New York to Chicago and Sao Paulo. Nasdaq OMX Group Inc., IntercontinentalExchange Inc., CBOE Holdings Inc. and BM&FBovespa SA -- all of which run derivative venues for futures or options -- rallied as much as 6.7 percent yesterday.

Deutsche Boerse rose 2.3 percent to 59.77 euros as of 10:31 a.m. in London. NYSE Euronext shares surged 14 percent to $38.10 in New York. Their total market value of $25.6 billion exceeded Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd.’s, currently the world’s largest by market capitalization.

“We are still waiting for more details and are flying a bit blind right now,” said Timothy Ghriskey, chief investment officer at Solaris Asset Management in Bedford Hills, New York, which manages $2 billion. “But the market likes the combination of cross-board stock exchanges.”

Fragmented Markets

With as many as 50 venues trading equities in the U.S. compared with fewer than 20 a decade ago, competition has driven down the amount exchanges can charge for executing trades. Brokers who owned the NYSE 10 years ago earned 6.25 cents or more when buying and selling 100 shares. Now, the spread is a penny for the most heavily traded stocks.

NYSE Euronext said derivatives revenue climbed 14 percent in 2010, while overall sales declined for two straight years. Derivatives are contracts whose values are determined by underlying assets.

Deutsche Boerse, which may buy NYSE Euronext for about $10 billion in stock, would own about 60 percent of the new company. Niederauer, 51, would be chief executive officer of the new organization. Reto Francioni, the 55-year-old CEO of Deutsche Boerse, would be chairman.

The New York Stock Exchange, formed in 1792 under a sycamore tree on Wall Street, became the center of American capitalism through its grip on stock listings and trading. During the crash of 1987, Chairman John J. Phelan won praise for securing pledges from executives of some of the exchange’s biggest companies to buy back their own stock.

Scandal Decade

The Big Board’s reputation faded in the last decade when scandals highlighted the potential for collusion on the NYSE floor and faster technology reduced the need for middlemen.

In September 2003, Chairman Richard Grasso ended a 36-year career at the exchange as regulators and directors said a $140 million pay package called his leadership into question. Two years later, the U.S. charged 15 NYSE specialists with fraud, saying they manipulated orders for four years to pocket $19 million at clients’ expense. The NYSE was censured for self- regulatory failures and agreed to submit to outside monitoring for the first time.

Grasso’s successor, John Thain, orchestrated the 2006 reverse merger that gave the NYSE control of Chicago-based Archipelago Holdings Inc. and turned the member-owned exchange into a public company. By then, regulatory directives aimed at lowering transaction costs were in the process of cutting the NYSE’s market share.

Penny Increments

The 2001 switch to decimal share pricing, from sixteenths of a dollar, allowed any firm willing to sell for a penny less than the best available price to step in and make the trade. That reduced margins for specialists on the floor of the exchange. Automated-trading firms such as Getco LLC in Chicago used high-speed computers on electronic venues such as Bats Global Markets in Kansas City, Missouri, and Jersey City, New Jersey-based Direct Edge Holdings LLC to overcome lower profits by sending thousands of orders to trade every second.

At the same time, exchanges around the world were combining, with at least $95.8 billion of mergers completed since January 2000. NYSE combined with Euronext NV in 2007. TMX bought Montreal Exchange Inc. in 2008, a year after London Stock Exchange Group acquired Borsa Italiana SpA. ICE purchased the New York Board of Trade in 2007 and Bolsa de Mercadorias e Futuros bought Bovespa Holding SA in 2008.

Futures exchanges around the world traded 8.2 billion contracts in 2009, almost three times the turnover in 2003, according to data from the Futures Industry Association.

Seeking Volume

With rivals taking business, one of the quickest ways for NYSE Euronext to grow is through mergers and acquisitions, said Michael Pagano, a professor of finance who studies exchanges and market structure at the Villanova School of Business in Villanova, Pennsylvania.

“It costs a fixed amount of money to build a computer system for trading, but once you generate revenue that covers those fixed costs the marginal cost of covering just one additional trade beyond that is basically just electricity,” Pagano said.

That’s led to a reduction in costs. Total salaries and benefits at NYSE fell by 5.6 percent to $613 million last year, the biggest drop since the data on the publicly traded company began in 2005. Deutsche Boerse, which is scheduled to release results next week, cut staff expenses by 3.7 percent in 2009 and 26 percent in 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Amsterdam, Lisbon

NYSE Euronext owns exchanges in Amsterdam, Lisbon, Paris and Brussels, as well as London-based Liffe, Europe’s second- largest derivatives market. The company also runs three U.S. stock exchanges: NYSE Arca, NYSE Amex and the New York Stock Exchange, two options platforms and the NYSE Liffe U.S. futures exchange, which trades contracts linked to interest rates.

Deutsche Boerse operates the Frankfurt stock exchange and Clearstream, Europe’s second-biggest securities-settlement firm. The company also has Eurex Clearing AG and a 50 percent holding in Eurex, the region’s largest futures market. Eurex bought a stake in International Securities Exchange, an options market that competes with CBOE, in 2007.

“In Exchange 101, it’s about operating leverage,” said Jamie Selway, managing director at Investment Technology Group Inc. in New York and an expert in how markets are organized. He said NYSE Euronext and Deutsche Boerse can combine and eliminate more costs in personnel and technology. “You spend a fixed amount of cost to operate platforms. Anything additional you can trade on them is incremental revenue.”

Cutting Jobs

NYSE and Deutsche Boerse may move to a single execution system, coordinating trading services and eliminating jobs in areas such as sales, marketing and computer support. The combined exchange will use NYSE Euronext’s trading system for cash equities, said a person familiar with the matter who declined to be identified because the talks are private.

The deal would give the combined company about 40 percent of U.S. options volume by adding NYSE Euronext’s two markets with the ISE, currently the third-largest venue. CBOE was the biggest options exchange operator last month with 30 percent of contracts handled on its venues.

Combined, the companies will be the world’s largest futures market by volume, according to data from the Futures Industry Association, a trade group representing Wall Street banks active in derivatives. The merged firm would control 11 derivatives markets, including Liffe U.K., NYSE Arca Options, NYSE Liffe U.S., Eurex and the International Securities Exchange. The combined venues would have posted volume of 4.8 billion contracts in 2010, according to FIA.

CME Trading

That compares to 3.1 billion trades last year at CME Group Inc., the world’s largest futures exchange, FIA said.

NYSE Euronext would also handle clearing, the guaranteeing of payments for transactions and delivery of securities, for equities and futures in Europe through businesses run by Deutsche Boerse. Combining products in the same clearinghouse limits the ability of other markets to compete.

“Expanding a good, modern system that already exists like NYSE costs very little,” said Alfred Berkeley, chairman of Pipeline Trading Systems LLC in New York and president of Nasdaq Stock Market from 1996 to 2000. “They can eliminate all that redundancy in Deutsche Boerse and do a lot more business and a lot more trades than they’re doing now.”

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Fell 36,000 to 383,000 Last Week


The number of Americans filing first-time claims for unemployment insurance fell to the lowest since July 2008 last week, showing further strength in the labor market after the jobless rate declined to a 21-month low.

Applications for jobless benefits decreased by 36,000, more than forecast, to 383,000 in the week ended Feb. 4, Labor Department figures showed today. Economists forecast claims would fall to 410,000, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. The total number of people receiving unemployment insurance fell, while those collecting extended payments increased.

A slowdown in firings means U.S. companies may begin creating enough jobs to keep unemployment going down after the rate’s biggest two-month decline since 1958. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke yesterday said the jobless rate will likely stay high “for some time” as companies remain reluctant to add to payrolls.

“The labor market is improving,” said Brian Jones, an economist at Societe Generale in New York who projected claims would drop to 385,000. “Fingers crossed, if the weather can hold off this week, we should get a pretty decent snap back in non-farm payrolls and maybe another drop in the jobless rate.”

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring next month fell 0.5 percent to 1,312.80 at 8:34 a.m. in New York. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which moves inversely to price, rose to 3.68 percent from 3.65 percent late yesterday.

Economist Estimates

Estimates in the Bloomberg News survey of 51 economists ranged from 385,000 to 450,000. The Labor Department initially reported the prior week’s figure as 415,000.

A Labor Department official said the claims are still unwinding previous effects of bad winter weather.

The four-week moving average, a less volatile measure, fell to 415,500 from 431,500 the prior week.

The number of people continuing to collect jobless benefits fell by 47,000 in the week ended Jan. 29 to 3.89 million. Economists forecast the number would decline to 3.9 million. Figures for continuing claims do not include the number of workers receiving extended benefits under federal programs.

Those who’ve used up their traditional benefits and are now collecting emergency and extended payments increased by 84,000 to 4.64 million in the week ended Jan. 22.

Jobless Rate

The unemployment rate among people eligible for benefits, which tends to track the jobless rate, held at 3.1 percent.

Eighteen states and territories reported an increase in claims, while 35 had a decrease.

Initial jobless claims reflect weekly firings and tend to fall as job growth -- measured by the monthly non-farm payrolls report -- accelerates.

Awaiting signs of sustained job creation, central bank policy makers are likely to keep interest rates near zero and press ahead with plans to buy $600 billion in Treasury securities to boost the pace of recovery.

Earlier this week a Labor Department report showed job openings in the U.S. decreased by 139,000 to 3.06 million, the fewest since September. The number of people hired also dropped along with the number of workers fired.

Employers added a fewer-than-forecast 36,000 jobs to payrolls in January as the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 9 percent, the lowest since April 2009, according to Labor Department figures released Feb. 4. Unemployment dropped to 9.4 percent in December from 9.8 percent the previous month.

Fed Chairman Bernanke told the House Budget Committee yesterday that while the declines in the jobless rate in December and January “do provide some grounds for optimism,” companies need to hire more to reduce joblessness.

“With employers reportedly still reluctant to add to their payrolls, it will be several years before the unemployment rate has returned to a more normal level,” Bernanke said.

More Jobs

President Barack Obama this week urged leaders of U.S. companies to create more jobs after he worked to improve the business climate. A free-trade agreement with South Korea, a deal to extend Bush-era tax cuts, and proposals to support infrastructure and innovation foster better conditions for business investment, Obama said in a Feb. 7 speech to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

“I’m hoping that all of you are thinking what you can do for America,” Obama said. “Ask yourselves what you can do to hire more American workers, what you can do to support the American economy and invest in this nation.”

Continental Airlines said Feb. 7 it will eliminate 500 jobs in Houston as it combines with United Airlines, moving its headquarters to Chicago from the Texas city where an estimated 3,000 people in management and administration are employed.

“We’re going through a careful process of trying to determine the right organizational structure and location for each department,” Julie King, a spokeswoman for Continental, said in an interview.

FN100 Most Influential 2010


Only two fifths of last year’s FN100 ranking of the most influential people in the European capital markets have kept their places on this, the sixth annual list. But, given that the 2009 list contained a mere 25 returning entrants, the lower turnover represents a measure of stabilisation and normality. In other words, the FN100 list has again provided an accurate snapshot of the industry: things are better, but still not great.

There are 10 categories: chief executives, regulators, investment banking, capital markets, mergers and acquisitions, fund management, hedge funds, private equity, pensions and market infrastructure.

This year for the first time we have included 10 names from the pensions industry on the list. They have replaced the wealth management category in the FN100 as the balance of power has shifted towards asset owners and away from the managers of those assets. Regulators have moved up the ranking as the financial markets await the full impact of measures to prevent another global crisis while debt bankers have continued to dominate the capital markets category over their equity counterparts. The slump in mergers and acquisitions activity has resulted in many advisers dropping down the overall rankings.

• Methodology

Over the past three months, Financial News’ team of journalists canvassed the market for opinion and drew up lists within each of the 10 categories. All nominees had to be based in Europe, the Middle East or Africa, and we excluded central bankers and those in government (except in a regulatory capacity). Candidates were then marked for influence over their area, leadership within their sector, performance over the past year, and their capacity to shape their business and/or industry over the year to come. The list was then whittled down to 100. All profiles and research by Financial News staff reporters.